Archive for December, 2009

U.S. consumer spending rises, new home sales slump (Reuters)

Wednesday, December 23rd, 2009 | Finance News

WASHINGTON (Reuters) –
U.S. consumer spending rose in November as incomes recorded their biggest gain in six months, but a surprise drop in new home sales to a seven-month low was a reminder that the economic recovery would be bumpy.

The Commerce Department said on Wednesday spending climbed 0.5 percent last month after increasing 0.6 percent in October. Analysts had expected consumer spending, which normally accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, to rise 0.6 percent.

A separate report from the department showed sales of newly built single-family homes unexpectedly dropped 11.3 percent last month to a 355,000 unit annual rate. Financial markets had expected new home sales to increase to 440,000 units.

Analysts blamed the drop on the expectation that a popular tax credit for first-time home buyers would expire at the end of November.

New home sales are counted after a contract is signed, but closing on a contract usually takes 30 to 60 days more. The credit has since been extended and expanded and analysts expect sales to resume their upward trend in coming months.

"We are going to see a steady increase in new homes sales through next year. The reports today are supportive of a moderate economic recovery through 2010, not a V-shaped recovery, not a double-dip," said Robert Dye, a senior economist at PNC Financial Services in Pittsburgh.

U.S. stocks fell on the housing data, but regained some ground following solid profits from some technology companies. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index (.SPX) ended slightly up, while the Dow Jones industrial average (.DJI) was flat (.N).

Prices for U.S. government debt snapped back from sharp losses earlier in the week . The U.S. dollar dropped versus the euro for the first time in five sessions .

CONFIDENCE PERKING UP

A third report showed consumer sentiment improved this month as incomes rose and the job market grew less gloomy.

The Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers' index of consumer sentiment was 72.5, the highest in three months, after 67.4 in November.

Improving confidence and rising incomes would support spending in general and the housing market, analysts said. Personal income rose 0.4 percent last month, the largest increase since May, after gaining 0.3 percent in October, Commerce Department data showed.

The rise in income saw savings increasing to an annual rate of $525.1 billion, but the savings rate was unchanged at 4.7 percent from the prior month.

"We are getting back on track. This is a report that builds on the retail sales we saw, and we are closing the gap on jobs. Income growth will help stabilize the economy," Robert Brusca, chief economist at Fact and Opinion Economics in New York, said of the income and spending report.

The Federal Reserve last week left overnight lending rates unchanged near zero, citing excess slack in the economy, and pledged to keep interest rates low for an "extended period."

In an interview with ABC's "Good Morning America" on Wednesday, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said the economy was recovering, but it may be some months yet before jobs are being created instead of lost.

"The economy's growing, it's getting better, getting stronger and I think most people would say the economy is strengthening going into the end of the year...but the key thing is when do we get job growth back," Geithner said.

According to some analysts, new home sales are losing out to the resale market, where many owners are desperate to sell.

"Home buyers continue to snap-up deals in the existing homes market, which has risen sharply in the past few months, crowding out purchases in the new residential market," said Ian Pollick a strategist at TD Securities in Toronto.

A Realtors survey on Tuesday showed sales of previously owned homes surging to their highest level in nearly three years last month, with distressed sales constituting a large chunk of the transactions.

There were still hopeful signs in the Commerce Department report, with the median sale price for a new home rising 3.8 percent from October to $217,400, the highest level since May. Compared to a year-ago, the median sale price fell 1.9 percent.

The number of new homes on the market last month still fell to 235,000, the lowest since April 1971.

"There is no threat to the production of new houses. The production side of the market is in good balance with the demand side," said Pierre Ellis, senior economist at Decision Economics in New York.

(Additional reporting by Glenn Somerville in Washington, Richard Leong and Ellen Freilich in New York)

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Volvo Cars sale to Geely seen closing in Q2 ’10 (Reuters)

Wednesday, December 23rd, 2009 | Finance News

STOCKHOLM (Reuters) –
U.S. carmaker Ford (F.N) said it expected to close a deal to sell Volvo Cars to China's Zhejiang Geely in the second quarter of 2010, in the latest in a string of deals between Asian and Western carmakers.

Chinese carmakers are taking advantage of a crisis-sparked shake-up of the auto industry, tapping into Western brands in a bid to boost their technology and take advantage of a fast-growing home market. China car sales are expected to overtake the U.S. when full-year figures are published.

Ford said in a statement it did not expect to retain a stake in the Swedish unit after the sale.

Geely said in a statement that the substantive commercial terms of the agreement had been settled, and that Geely expected to sign a definitive stock purchase agreement with Ford in the first quarter of next year, paving the way for completion in the second quarter, subject to regulatory approval.

"Further discussions will focus on finalization of documentation and financing, as well as government approvals," Geely said in a statement.

Zhejiang Geely was named by Ford as preferred bidder for Volvo in October.

The estimated $1.8 billion deal would be the largest overseas acquisition by a Chinese automaker.

China's BAIC on Wednesday said it would launch an aggressive campaign to develop its brand at home and abroad after buying car designs from GM's Saab unit.

(Reporting by Jens Hansegard; Additional Writing by Helen Massy-Beresford; Editing by Hans Peters and Jon Loades-Carter)

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Asian shares edge up, dollar off highs (Reuters)

Tuesday, December 22nd, 2009 | Finance News

SEOUL (Reuters) –
Asian shares edged higher on Wednesday led by a spurt in Australian stocks to a three-week high, while the U.S. dollar came off highs as traders digested recent steep gains.

Oil prices ticked higher amid expectations in a Reuters poll that U.S. weekly inventory data will show a draw down in crude stocks of nearly 1 million barrels, but the dollar's rally is keeping a lid on the market's upside potential.

The U.S. dollar hit a two-month high of 91.86 yen in early Asia trade, before edging back. But the currency remains in demand even after jumping more than 8 percent in less than a month against the Japanese currency.

Australian stocks (.AXJO) rose as much as 0.8 percent to a three-week high, helped by miners such as BHP Billiton Ltd (BHP.AX), pushing the MSCI index of Asia Pacific stocks traded outside Japan up by 0.2 percent.

In Australia, Gloucester Coal (GCL.AX) jumped more than 25 percent higher after rival Macarthur Coal (MCC.AX) offered to buy the company in an all-share deal for $591 million. The shares resumed trading on Wednesday after being halted a day earlier pending the bid.

Key stock indexes in Hong Kong (.HSI), Singapore (.FTSTI), Taiwan (.TWII) and South Korea (.KS11) were all modestly higher on the day. Tokyo's stock market was closed for the Emperor's birthday holiday, dampening activity in the region.

Spot gold was quoted $1,086.65 an ounce at 9:32 p.m. EST, bouncing back after touching a seven-week low of $1,074.10 in New York trade overnight.

(Editing by Neil Fullick)

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