Archive for December, 2009

Trucker YRC’s debt exchange succeeds, shares drop (Reuters)

Thursday, December 31st, 2009 | Finance News

OVERLAND PARK, Kansas (Reuters) –
U.S. trucking giant YRC Worldwide (YRCW.O) said on Thursday it averted bankruptcy by successfully negotiating a critical debt-for-equity exchange that wipes out $470 million in debt and gives the struggling company access to needed credit as it restructures.

"This doesn't guarantee them survival but it gives them a shot," said Dahlman Rose analyst Jason Seidl. "They are still in a very difficult situation."

The deal will give noteholders 94 percent of the equity in YRC, news that sent shares down to all-time low of 80 cents early Thursday.

"We do not believe there is equity value that remains in the company, supporting our $0 price target," said Baird U.S. Equity Research analyst Jon Langenfeld in a note to investors.

YRC said Thursday that holders of 88 percent of the company's outstanding notes had agreed to the swap, including 70 percent of YRC's 8-1/2 percent notes. It was that group of noteholders who had been holding up the exchange, and who have been publicly pressured in recent days by the company's union to agree to the deal.

On Wednesday, YRC had warned that if enough noteholders did not agree to the swap it might need to file for bankruptcy.

The diminished fears over a near-term bankruptcy filing triggered brisk options action in YRC January $1 puts Thursday.

YRC shares at mid-morning were off 14 percent at 85 cents. YRC rivals, including Arkansas Best Corp (ABFS.O), Con-way Inc (CNW.N), and Old Dominion Freight (ODFL.O) Line fell more than 8 percent on the news of fresh life for YRC.

YRC has been working to restructure for over a year and hinged much of its hopes on relieving itself of $536.8 million owed to its bondholders. The successful exchange of $470 million in notes leaves YRC still facing more than $66 million it will need to come up with to make remaining noteholders whole.

But the debt relief is enough to appease anxious lenders and give the company more time to restructure.

"The success of this note exchange marks a major turning point for YRC Worldwide," said YRC CEO Bill Zollars in a statement. "With our significantly restructured balance sheet and enhanced liquidity, we will move forward from a more solid financial foundation."

Under the terms of the swap, YRC said it will issue to tendering noteholders approximately 37 million shares of common stock and 4.346 million shares of Class A convertible preferred stock which, together on an as-if converted basis, will represent approximately 94 percent of the company's total issued and outstanding common stock.

YRC said it will now be able to defer $19 million of fourth-quarter lender interest and fees, and will have access to $159.8 million in revolver reserves. As well, YRC said it expects to defer additional lender interest and fees of $20 to $25 million per quarter during 2010.

While analysts welcomed the news, they warned that the company is still not on solid footing, and faces many challenges, including recovering customers who fled to lower-priced, more stable competitors, and stemming a cash bleed.

"YRC may have dodged the bullet in the short term but longer term, uncertainty remains over the fate of the company," said WhatsTrading.com option strategist Frederic Ruffy.

YRC, which is the largest U.S. trucking firm handling smaller, or less-than-truckload shipments, has laid off thousands of workers and cut deals with labor and lenders over the last year trying to survive a downturn in the economy and a heavy debt load tied to a string of acquisitions.

(Additional reporting by Doris Frankel in Chicago)

(Reporting by Carey Gillam, editing by Dave Zimmerman)

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RUSAL goes public in pursuit of $2.6 billion (Reuters)

Thursday, December 31st, 2009 | Finance News

HONG KONG/MOSCOW (Reuters) –
UC RUSAL plans to raise up to $2.6 billion in a landmark Hong Kong IPO next month and is betting on aluminum price growth to repay nearly $15 billion in debt and restore profits after a miserable first half of 2009.

The world's largest aluminum maker on Thursday unveiled a 1,141-page prospectus for the first Russian share float in Hong Kong, detailing its finances in public for the first time and answering concerns related to billionaire owner Oleg Deripaska.

"The valuation appears to be very aggressive," said Chris Weafer, chief strategist at Russian investment bank UralSib.

UC RUSAL is the jewel in the crown of Deripaska's business empire and helped its majority owner to the head of Russia's rich list before the economic crisis more than halved the value of the aluminum produced by its Siberian smelters.

UC RUSAL is offering 1.6 billion shares, or a stake of about 10 percent, in a range of HK$9.10 to HK$12.50. The January 27 listing will be among the first major IPOs of a non-Asian firm in Hong Kong and the first Hong Kong-Paris dual listing.

The company spent most of this year in talks with creditors to secure Russia's biggest ever restructuring deal, clearing the way for it to go public. Pricing at the top of the range would raise $2.58 billion, and at the bottom, $1.87 billion.

"A valuation closer to $1.5 billion for that stake had been considered by many potential investors as more appropriate," said Weafer.

The offer price values UC RUSAL at 11 to 14 times 2010 basis EV/EBITDA and means the company values itself at upto $26 billion.

Aluminum Corp of China Ltd (601600.SS) (2600.HK) trades at about 12 times, a source close to the deal said. Another major aluminum producer, U.S.-based Alcoa (AA.N), has a market capitalization of $15.6 billion.

The IPO has attracted a list of big name investors, including Nathaniel Rothschild's company and U.S. hedge fund Paulson & Co, but has not been without hiccups.

It was delayed by Hong Kong authorities due to caution over RUSAL's massive debt burden and approval was granted with an unprecedented proviso barring the sale of shares to Hong Kong's retail market, a hungry group of individual investors usually allowed at least 10 percent of an IPO's shares in the city.

UC RUSAL said its debt obligations would also impose "strict limits" on capital expenditure and dividend payments.

RUSAL revealed an $868 million net loss for the six months ended June 30 versus a year-earlier profit of $1.41 billion and said growth in aluminum prices would be crucial to recovery.

It cited a base case average forecast of an 8.6 percent annual rise in aluminum prices between 2009 and 2013. But should prices undergo a sustained fall of more than 20 percent, RUSAL's ability to meet debt targets could be compromised.

The third page of the prospectus carried a warning in red ink that RUSAL may cease to continue as a going concern should it fail to comply with repayment terms or be unable to extend, refinance or repay a $4.5 billion loan from state bank VEB.

The VEB loan, which comes due on October 29, 2010, was one of the key concerns cited by Hong Kong authorities when examining the IPO proposal. RUSAL said it would seek to extend it or ask state-run Sberbank (SBER03.MM) to assume the debt.

VEB, which has pledged to buy about one third of the shares on offer at the IPO, has security over RUSAL's stake in Russian miner Norilsk Nickel (GMKN.MM). As of December 17, 2009, the stake was worth 51 percent more than the debt owed to VEB.

VISAS, COURT CASE

As aluminum prices have rebounded from seven-year lows in February, so too have RUSAL's fortunes. The company forecast a full-year 2009 profit of at least $434 million.

Aluminum on the London Metal Exchange averaged $1,474 a ton in the first half of 2009 versus $2,895 in the same period last year. In the second half of 2009, the metal -- used in construction, cars and packaging -- averaged $1,942.

RUSAL's 2008 revenues were $15.69 billion, up over $2 billion from the previous year. Revenues by mid-year 2009 were $3.76 billion, compared with $8.35 billion a year earlier.

The prospectus also addressed issues surrounding Deripaska, who confirmed he had been denied a U.S. visa on several occasions but had subsequently visited the country, most recently in August and October 2009.

RUSAL said Deripaska, its chief executive, had informed the company he was not, to the best of his knowledge, under investigation by any U.S. authority.

Deripaska also said he "strongly denies and will vigorously resist" claims by Michael Cherney, who has brought a London court case against his former associate related to payment for his interest in aluminum assets now controlled by UC RUSAL.

While Deripaska opposes the claim, UC RUSAL acknowledged its majority owner's influence would be significantly reduced should he lose the case and use UC RUSAL shares to fund the payment.

Deripaska's En+ Group owns 53.35 percent of UC RUSAL and its share is expected to drop to 47.59 percent after the IPO.

UC RUSAL plans to start pre-marketing of the IPO on January 5, with a roadshow starting on January 11 and pricing on January 21-22.

BNP Paribas (BNPP.PA) and Credit Suisse (CSGN.VX) are the joint sponsors and global coordinators.

The joint bookrunners are BofA-Merrill (BAC.N), BOCI, Nomura Holdings (8604.T), Renassiance Capital, Sberbank and VTB Capital, with Rothschild acting as the financial advisor.

BNP, with exposure of around $415 million, is another of UC RUSAL's creditors. Calyon has around $507 million of exposure, Societe Generale around $401 million and Sberbank $822 million.

For a related graphic click on: http://tinyurl.com/yzbefye

(Additional reporting by Don Durfee and Kennix Chim in Hong Kong, Polina Devitt in Moscow)

(Editing by David Cowell)

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Japan’s DBJ agrees to expand loans to JAL: report (Reuters)

Wednesday, December 30th, 2009 | Finance News

TOKYO (Reuters) –
The Development Bank of Japan (DBJ) has agreed to increase the amount of its unsecured loans to Japan Airlines (9205.T) from 100 billion yen ($1.08 billion) at present, Jiji news agency reported on Thursday.

Executives of the state-owned DBJ, Transport Minister Seiji Maehara and National Strategy Minister Naoto Kan met on Thursday to agree to raise the amount of loans as JAL has already used 55 billion yen of a 100 billion yen credit line recently extended by DBJ, Jiji said.

The increase in the loan amount will be finalized on January 3 after a discussion between key cabinet ministers, and an announcement will be made, Jiji said.

DBJ was not immediately available for comment.

JAL's share price dropped to a record low on Wednesday due to growing expectations the cash-strapped carrier was headed for bankruptcy under a state restructuring plan.

The chances of bankruptcy appeared to increase last week when Finance Minister Hirohisa Fujii said the government would not back any more loans to JAL. Private banks are unlikely to extend loans without guarantees against future losses.

($1=92.38 yen)

(Reporting by Chikafumi Hodo; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman)

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